The latest Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows that President Barack Obama is winning in Ohio 51-46, a 5 point lead not too different from our last poll two weeks ago when he led 49-45. In addition, the well-founded fear of Republicans about early voting favoring President Obama has a clear basis as 19% of people who say they’ve already cast their ballots in the state of Ohio report having voted for Obama by a 76-24 margin.
“Skewed polling” says Arlington Conservative Examiner Dean Chambers.
Tea Party conservatives like Mr. Chambers are making a “case,” a weak case albeit, that Presidential polling is “skewed.” However, it is not always “skewed,” only “skewed” when it favors President Obama and goes against Mitt Romney. A sort of “reverse skewing.”
In the latest bit of incredulity, the claim is that President Obama is losing in all the swing states according to QStarNews poll of swing states. The claim is that Obama is losing in the 11 states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
So much for Ohio as evidenced by the latest PPP poll.
The PPP poll also showed that Joe Biden won the Vice Presidential debate and it has impacted the voting thus far. 46% of Ohio voters think Joe Biden won it to 37% who believe Paul Ryan was the victor.
In another significant PPP poll, Mitt Romney is projected to lose Massachusetts by 14 points and he will carry Elizabeth Warren to victory in the United States Senate race against Senator Scott Brown (R-MA). Elizabeth Warren leads Scott Brown 50-44, according to the PPP poll.
The Hill reports that President Obama tied with GOP Mitt Romney in Arizona.
That is not a state even listed by the “Skewed poling” crowd. Arizona a state where Romney leads in most surveys and that generally breaks for Republican presidential candidates.
The Behavior Research Center poll released Saturday shows Obama ahead of Romney 42-40 percent among registered voters and 44-42 percent among likely voters. Both tallies are within the poll’s 4.4 percent margin of error, making the race “dead even,” a summary of the results states.
So what is the “skewed polling” argument anyway?
The claim by these “Republican poll skewers” says that the difference is the weighting and/or sampling of Democrats, Republicans and independents in each survey. Some tests of different weightings, assuming the same breakdown of independents, shows how variations in the weightings of Democrats and Republicans produce varying different final results between Obama and Romney.
What a bunch of double talking babble and double speak.
They use another poll, something call the UnSkewedPolls.com. But, the unskewed poll is a mathematically flawed polled with no scientific basis and no explanation on how these numbers were determined.
In other words, what they refer to as “skewed polling.”
And guess what?
In these polls, President Barack Obama is generally behind. They even take credit for what they say is some polls are now “less skewed” due to their pressure on these pollsters. This earns this web site a new title: ReallySkewedPolling.com.
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John is the author of an award-winning book, the 2010 Winner of the USA National Best Book award for African-American studies, published by The Elevator Group Mr. and Mrs. Grassroots: How Barack Obama, Two Bookstore Owners, and 300 Volunteers did it. Also available an eBook on Amazon. John is also a member of the Society of Midland Authors and is a book reviewer of political books for the New York Journal of Books