Sandy has made landfall over New Jersey early this evening, and has transitioned into a powerful ‘extratropical’ system.
…The low down on Sandy’s remnants (Location / Current watches & warnings)…
According to the latest information from the National Hurricane Center, as of 9PM EDT on Monday evening, the center of Sandy was located at latitude 39.6N, longitude 74.6W. This places the center just about over the southern tip of New Jersey.. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 80 MPH, with a movement toward the west northwest at 21 MPH. The minimum central pressure has increased a bit, to 947 millibars, or 27.97 inches of mercury. Sandy has officially been classified as a post-tropical cyclone by the National Hurricane Center. In other words, she is no longer considered a ‘tropical entity’.
High wind watches and flood watches remain in effect through the overnight period, and in cases, through Tuesday, across the entire Capital Region and vicinity. Some flood warnings have also been issued, and for details on those warnings, see the potential impacts section below. All tropical storm watches and warnings have officially been discontinued due to the fact that Sandy is no longer considered tropical in nature.
Radar and satellite pictures confirm that the bulk of the heavier rainfall associated with the system remains to the western side of the storm center. A more fragmented appearance to rainbands on the eastern side of the center has been prevalent, and seems to be the trend.
Winds remain quite strong in those areas impacted by the storm. Here were some 9PM EDT Monday wind speed, direction, and gust reports from around the Northeast (in the format, location, wind direction, sustained wind speed in MPH, wind gust in MPH)…
- Albany, NY: East 22, 31
- Glens Falls, NY: Northeast 21, 31
- Islip, NY: Southeast 39, 54
- New York City (Proper): Southeast 49, 71
- Central Park, NYC: East 25, 53
- Boston, MA: East 38, 51
- Beverly, MA: East 35, 55
- Portsmouth, NH: East 30, 52
- Wrightstown, NJ: East 40, 62
- Lakehurst, NJ: East 39, 66
- Newark, NJ: East 45, 69
- Allentown, PA: Northeast 45, 60
Data above were obtained via the NOAA National Hurricane Center, and the National Weather Service. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center’s website (by clicking on the hyperlink in the previous sentence) for official information concerning this dangerous storm.
…Forecast for the remnants of Sandy…
The center of Sandy has made landfall over the Southern tip of New Jersey, and is forecast to continue to move west northwest through the overnight. A slight decrease in forward movement speed is expected as Sandy’s remnants interact with inland topography. In addition, the storm has shown, and should continue to show, signs of weakening during the next several hours as it transitions to more of a powerful low pressure system of non-tropical classification.
The forecast track for Sandy has not changed from previous thinking. The low pressure center is forecast to move west into and across Eastern Pennsylvania overnight tonight, into northwestern Pennsylvania and southwest New York on Tuesday, and into the Saint Lawrence Valley in Canada by Wednesday.
…Potential impacts for the Capital Region & vicinity…
As noted in the above section, winds are quite strong across the portions of the Capital Region and vicinity this evening, and are forecast to remain so, with a slight decrease in speeds around or shortly after midnight.
Rain has not been as much of an issue as was previously expected across the region. This was due in large part to the bulk of the heavier precipitation associated with Sandy staying well to the south and west of the region, primarily to the west of center of circulation of the storm itself. Some bands of rainfall will move through the region this evening and overnight. In general we are looking for an inch or two of rainfall across the bulk of the region, with upslope areas of the Adirondacks, Berkshires, Taconics, and Catskills receiving as much as 3 to 5 inches.
Flood warnings, for tidal and storm surge flooding, continue along the length of the Hudson River, for Columbia, Greene, Dutchess, and Ulster counties and points south. Some flooding is also possible as far north as Albany with high tide which occurs at 2AM Tuesday morning. Some flooding has already been reported from Poughkeepsie up to Kingston, as per latest National Weather Service statements.
Flood warnings have also been issued for the southern end of Lake George in Warren county in northern New York. Strong northerly to northeasterly winds have consistently blown across the entire length of the lake, causing water and waves to pile up toward the southern end of Lake George. Flooding has been reported in Lake George Village.
Those in these warning areas mentioned above should be on the lookout for flooding and should seek higher ground immediately in the event flooding occurs. Motorists should not attempt to drive their vehicles into low water crossings.
Portions of Greene, Columbia, Ulster, and Dutchess counties in New York were without power this evening. The probability of additional power outages through the evening hours is high across the bulk of the region as well thanks to the damaging winds. Travel is discouraged, unless absolutely necessary, during the overnight period, as road crews and utility companies will likely need to respond to areas where the wind has caused downed trees and power line issues.
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