How a political race can change.
Republican challenger Mitt Romney now has a two-point lead over incumbent Barack Obama for the key swing state of Ohio.
Monday’s Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely Ohio voters indicates Romney has a 50 percent to 48 percent advantage over President Obama. With that said, Ohio remains a toss-up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
Based on current numbers, it would be imperative that Romney take the state of Wisconsin if he loses Ohio. Something not impossible in the wake of his running mate, favorite son Paul Ryan, and the governor’s recall vote Republicans won easily for Gov. Scott Walker0 earlier this year.
The battle for votes in Ohio has been fought especially hard. It has been within a few points since August, but with Obama always in the lead. One week ago, Romney and Obama were tied in the Buckeye State with 48 percent support each.
This is the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race.
Thanks to a larger get-out-the-vote push by Democrats, nearly one-in-three Ohio voters (32 percent) have already cast their ballots. That has given Obama a 62 percent to 36 percent among these voters. However, Romney has a large lead among those likely voters still to vote.
The big question of which candidate is victorious rests on how many voters Romney’s campaign can get to the polls election day. That will be vital, but all indications are it is likely at this juncture.
Romney has a 12-point lead over the president among all Ohio voters in voter trust, 53 percent to 41 percent, deriving from the economy. It was only seven points last week.
The former governor also wins in the area of job creation and energy policies by eight points, but only a two point lead on the subject of housing.
Since the Benghazi scandal erupted in mid-September, Romney has taken a commanding lead on national security at 52 percent to 42 percent for the president.
Obama actually carried Ohio by four points in 2008. However, this time around, only 46 percent of Ohioans think he’s doing a good job. This includes strong approval from just 29 percent while strong disapproval is a whooping 44 percent.
That gives the president a worse job approval rating in Ohio than he earns nationally.
Romney has a favorable rating of 53 percent while the unfavorable is 45 percent. It should be noted that includes a 40 percent very favorable opinion for the former Massachusetts governor while only 32 percent very unfavorable.
The two candidates remain neck and neck with the female vote while Romney holds a commanding lead among men.
Fifteen percent of all voters in the state now rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, while a stunning 49 percent view it as poor.
It appears that Ohio is now leaning toward Romney with momentum on his side.
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