The pro-Romney trend is painfully obvious for all to see. So says Josh Jordan’s NRO post:
But here’s why you can feel the panic emanating from Chicago: Romney is currently doing better with independents than Obama did in 2008. Obama won independents by eight, in 2008 while Romney is currently leading by 10.6 points on average. If the independent numbers are entered in to the 2008 results, Romney would have a victory of over four points. Even if Romney does not take any more crossover votes (Democrats who vote Republican and vice versa) than McCain got in 2008, he would still win by over four points on Election Day.
Mitt Romney is consistently winning independents by double-digit margins. The pattern is unmistakable because it’s in all of the battleground polls, including Ohio. If that pattern isn’t stopped, Mitt Romney will be President-Elect Romney within 2 weeks.
Another way to detect a trend is when sitting presidents lose newspaper endorsements they won the previous time. Saturday, the Des Moines Register endorsed Mitt Romney:
The Register’s editorial board, as it should, had a vigorous debate over this endorsement. Our discussion repeatedly circled back to the nation’s single most important challenge: pulling the economy out of the doldrums, getting more Americans back in the workforce in meaningful jobs with promising futures, and getting the federal government on a track to balance the budget in a bipartisan manner that the country demands.
Which candidate could forge the compromises in Congress to achieve these goals? When the question is framed in those terms, Mitt Romney emerges the stronger candidate.
The other way to spot a trend is when you see an incumbent’s approval ratings tanking:
In the three-day period ending on Oct. 23, says Gallup, 53 percent said they approved of the job Obama was doing and 42 percent said they did not.
On Oct. 24, that dropped to 51 percent who said they approved and 44 percent who said they do not.
On Oct. 25, it dropped again to 48 percent who said they approved and 47 percent who said they do not.
On Oct. 26, it dropped yet again to 46 percent who said they approved and 49 percent who said they did not.
The final presidential debate was Oct. 22, meaning President Obama’s approval rating started dropping as a result of the debate. President Obama’s downward trend continued while the debate was fresh in people’s minds.
People picked up on Gov. Romney’s trend and showed up en masse at the Red Rocks Amphiteater:
We’ve heard a lot about momentum this week, especially from Mitt Romney’s campaign and from Romney himself.
The day after the final presidential debate, Romney told a huge crowd at the Red Rocks Amphitheatre in Colorado: “You see the president’s status quo campaign, you know going forward with the same ideas as we’ve seen over the last four years is, is why he’s slipping, and it’s why our campaign is gaining.”
This week’s new meme from the Obama campaign is that Mitt Romney’s momentum is more perception than reality. It’s being charitable saying that meme isn’t persuasive. The reality is that people, the Obama campaign included, see the writing on the wall. Barring something totally unforeseen, President Obama will be giving a concession speech a week from Tuesday night.