Saturday, December 1st, Miguel Cotto (37-3) will take on Austin Trout (25-0) for Trout’s WBA junior middleweight title. The bout will held at Madison Square Garden in New York City and will likely be televised on Showtime Sports.
For Cotto, the bout is an opportunity for him to capture another world title in the junior middleweight division as he lost his prior title to Floyd Mayweather Jr (43-0). He will surely be the favorite in this fight as he has the more impressive resume and expected to possess greater punching power.
With 30 out of Cotto’s 37 victories coming by way of knockout, Cotto should be looking to hurt Trout and use his experience to outsmart him. Though, Trout is the undefeated fighter, it must be noted that he has not faced anywhere as close to the opposition that Cotto has and will be taking part in the biggest fight of his career.
Trout told ESPN, “I’m trying to put this legacy together and this is what I needed. I am ecstatic right now,” I get to check off a few things on my bucket list with this fight. I get to fight in the Garden, I get to fight a superstar in the Garden, and I get to fight on HBO, if that’s where this fight is.”
Defensively, Cotto must be weary of uppercuts as it seems that is his weakness that can get him into trouble at times. Therefore, it should be interesting to see what type of game plan Trout implements in order to attempt to defeat Cotto.
From a promotional standpoint, the announcement takes Cotto out of any talks for this year of a fight with Manny Pacquiao, Floyd Mayweather Jr., and Saul Alvarez. However, an impressive victory over Trout could put Cotto right back into the picture for a match up against either of the mentioned opponents.
As for Trout, a victory would boost his stock significantly and place him at the top of the list of the division. In Trout’s last title defense against Delvin Rodriguez, the fight was criticized for its lack of excitement, which did not create any buzz for him. Yet, Trout now finds himself in a mega fight against a superstar that is his gateway to the top.
Strategically, with the fight being held in Cotto’s home turf, Madison Square Garden, Trout must be looking to hurt Cotto as it is likely that he will not be given a decision victory in a close fight.
From a risk management perspective, Trout will be coming into this fight with nothing to lose and everything to gain. Yes, it is important that Trout is putting his world title on the line, but in the end Cotto is the one that holds the substantial risk of losing his title as one of boxing’s best in the world.
Monetarily, a loss would be a huge hit to Cotto’s stock, which would take away all plans of mega fights against the likes of junior middleweight champion Saul Alvarez. Subsequently, the monetary risk adds to the likelihood that a close fight would be judged in favor of Cotto as those with an interest in Cotto will not want to lose out on all those possibilities.
In the end, Cotto will come into this fight as heavy favorite, but no one should count Trout out as he has never been defeated. It should be interesting to see how Trout fairs against Cotto as this is the opportunity he has always endured. It is no secret that this will be a high stakes fight for Cotto as a loss would destroy his reputation as one of boxing’s pound for pound best. Only time will tell, but the boxing world can be certain that a Cotto fight always brings some type of blood and drama.