The impacts of Sandy are already hitting. While there was an eerie calm for many inland today, allowing for storm preparation, the coast was getting battered. Images of the shoreline under water stretched through Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey. The thing is, the storm was still hundreds of miles off shore. In fact the 11pm advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows location of Sandy was centered 450 miles from New York City
The Air Force Recon flights have shown a gradual turn. This may not be that evident on the satellite loops, but watch the last few frames in the video clip and you might see it. The last loop shows the Water Vapor imagery and the dark part toward the top is the cold dry air in the north Atlantic. That is expanding south and will be responsible for helping Sandy make the turn. Basically there is no place for it to go, so it has to turn left or west. That turn is forecasted by most models to take place tonight, at which point a target will be set for the Mid Atlantic Coast by morning. Most models show a general agreement near Atlantic City, NJ with a range of about 100 miles on either side.
The exact location of landfall will mean a maximum surge for that area and north up the coast. Some models are funneling 8-10 feet of water all the way into New York Harbor, surrounding Manhattan and pushing up the Hudson River. Just south of the center, there will be a surge and flooding, but not nearly as bad.
The size of the storm will reach millions. Winds are 75 mph, but that hurricane intensity extends 175 miles away from the center. Tropical Storm Force Winds reach 520 miles from the center. That means it is over 1000 miles across. This will impact the most densely populated area of the country and power could get knocked out for a long time for many.
Landfall is expected Monday night, ironically on the one year anniversary of the Snowtober storm that put millions out of power between PA through New England. This will be worse.
Main concerns now:
Flooding: This will be from heavy rain, a large region is expected to receive over 6 inches. Leaves stripped from trees will clog storm drains.
Storm Surge: At landfall and north of the center will be worse.
Full Moon: The astronomical High Tide in on Monday.
Tornadoes: These are common with land falling tropical systems
Blizzard: Warnings for over 1 foot of snow and winds over 35 mph (or much higher) have been issued for Western Maryland, and parts of western PA and West Virginia.
Important Storm Related Articles:
- Hurricane Sandy and The Chesapeake Bay in Maryland
- Hurricane Sandy floods the coast. One model shows snow wrapping in behind the storm
- Rumors of a perfect storm or a whole lot of nothing from TS Sandy
- Hurricane Sandy puts Maryland in State of Emergency, devastating impacts beyond
I will monitor local impacts of the storm on my Baltimore Weather Examiner page. The track is expected to pass almost over my own home north of the city on Tuesday morning.
Also follow along for updates through:
Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
- LOCATION…34.5N 70.5W
- ABOUT 290 MI…465 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
- ABOUT 470 MI…760 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
- PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
- MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…950 MB…28.05 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
Tropical storm and hurricane history of naming. 2012 Atlantic list
Tropical Storm formation history: Storm origin maps every 10 days of season
Hurricane Preparedness Week: Storm Surge is the most deadly and destructive
Hurricane Destruction Animation based on Saffir Simpson Scale
NASA Global Hawk: Hurricane drone planes run by locals at Goddard